MANTICUS APOLLO

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The project creates the theoretical underpinnings for a transnational and comprehensive situational awareness (SA) capability for coordinating national defense. We analyse the relevant governmental institutions through their statutes and the interviews with their employees. We describe both the as-is and to-be situations, generalizing the management structure and information flows of the institutions. We propose the system architecture and technical architecture for a SA information system.

We analyse the cross-dependencies of vital services, place them into a suitable model and find how the degradation of one service affects others. We extend an existing simulation-based crisis decision support system with algorithms for describing these dependencies and estimate the probability of the realization of risks. We demonstrate that previous crisis scenarios can be derived from the description of services and their dependencies.

Project is funded by Estonian Research Council.